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New Entrants Rush to Usurp LiDAR SLAM with Innovation Software |
NEWS |
A previously published ABI Insight, “Vision as the Future of Perception for Mobile Robotics” concerned the market positioning of Visual Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (vSLAM) versus Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM). That work highlighted the relative advantages and disadvantages of vision-based systems versus LiDAR—concluding that the accuracy and reliability of dual systems, using a combination of Three-Dimensional (3D) LiDAR and stereo cameras yields far superior SLAM results. The cost of LiDAR systems, poor reliability of vision solutions, along with the high compute of both, indicates that neither of the two sensors were poised to capture the Autonomous Mobile Robot (AMR) market alone.
However, a recent spate of startups now aims to champion vSLAM with disruptive, university-spun-out, software Intellectual Property (IP). Primarily targeting AMRs in the warehousing and Third-Party Logistics (3PL) sectors in Europe and North America, this emerging group of companies aims to challenge the long-standing paradigm that all of a robotics solutions’ functionality must be developed and managed in-house.
The following companies are bringing vSLAM innovation to market via Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) revenue models:
Most of the companies listed above offer solutions that are “sensor agnostic,” meaning customers can chose which hardware to incorporate, allowing Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) a high degree of agency and control over their Bill Of Materials (BOM). Further, these companies offer full Service Lifecycle Management (SLM) for their solutions, reducing the support burden of robotics vendors.
Robotics manufacturers may also be sensing a sea-change. In April 2023, ABB launched its vSLAM solution for AMRs that boasts a 20% reduction in commissioning time and positioning to within 3 millimeters.
Warehousing Ripe for SaaS |
IMPACT |
Warehousing and 3PL remain fertile ground for automation. ABI Research’s recent Smart Warehousing market data (MD-SMWH-103) forecasts that the number of robotic warehouses—facilities dependent on Automated Storage and Retrieval (AS/AR)—is likely to increase six-fold between 2023 and 2030; a sizable addressable market for AMR integrators. Further, ABI Research forecasts that SaaS sales will grow from US$6 billion in 2023 to US$30 billion in 2030, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 26%.
The emerging trend of outsourcing enabling software components for automation solutions (be they navigation, mapping, or Machine Vision (MV)-augmented functionality such as picking and palletization) is growing in popularity among robotics vendors. The reason for this is two-fold: 1) deploying and managing complex facets of a robot’s functionality, such as navigation, is a considerable burden on vendor companies and often bloats business models, hampering horizontal growth; and 2) following installation is the long-tail of Service Lifecycle Management (SLM), which requires a customized understanding of a client’s needs and the rooting out of deployment edge cases—problems best solved by third-party specialists. The symbiotic relationship between robotics hardware vendors and software providers allows the former to focus on expansion.
The sensor-agnostic and highly-performant solutions brought to market via emerging vSLAM vendors may create the de facto standard for robotic function as SaaS. Vision startups possess the following advantages: closely guarded IP prevents the rapid duplication of disruptive algorithms; remote exception fixing is simpler for a software solution than hardware; and long-term support provided by vendors and compatibility with cheap sensors promotes horizontal growth and reduced BOM.
No Need to Reinvent Navigation |
RECOMMENDATIONS |
As the demand for warehouse automation grows, new vendors will enter the market in need of navigation solutions. Through open-source software libraries, much of a robot’s core functionality is readily available for integration into commercial products. However, open-source software does not provide 24/7 helplines, nor the specialist engineering knowledge required to integrate software into an automation solution along with regular software updates to ensure a software library is compliant with regulation and compatible with ever-evolving secondary libraries. Moreover, for many Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs), the burden of recruiting and training software engineering teams to maintain additional aspects of a solution’s functionality is untenable. ABI Research believes that stakeholders should consider the following points: