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UWB Devices Continue to Arrive, but Has the Market Stalled? |
NEWS |
The iPhone 11, released in September 2019, was the first smartphone to come equipped with the latest form of Ultra-Wideband (UWB) technology, based on the 802.15.4z standard. Since then, Apple’s first generation U1 UWB chip has been incorporated into all models within the iPhone 12 to iPhone 14 series, up until the iPhone 15 for which Apple’s second generation U2 chip began to be adopted. The U2 chip brings numerous enhancements over its predecessor, including a 3X increase in range, lower power consumption, a smaller form factor, and enhanced overall performance. Other adopters of UWB technology in the mobile space include Google via its Pixel 6 Pro, 7 Pro, and 8 Pro Series, Samsung’s Galaxy Note20 Ultra, the Galaxy S21, S22, S23, and S23 Plus and Ultra models, and the Galaxy ZFold2, 3, 4, and 5. Other vendors such as Xiaomi have continually showed their intent to invest in the UWB ecosystem, although, to date, their sole smartphone leveraging the technology is the MIX4. Meanwhile, the newest entrant to the UWB smartphone market is Motorola, which released its Edge 50 in April 2024. Beyond smartphones, the next biggest success has been smartwatches, again driven by Apple’s U1 and U2 chips from the Watch Series 6 onward. Beyond this, personal tracking devices including Apple’s AirTags and Samsung’s Galaxy SmartTags, as well as adoption within headset charging cases, smart speakers, and a Google tablet, make up the majority of the non-automotive and non-Real-Time Location System (RTLS) UWB devices on the market today. While it has been nearly 5 years since the first device arrived, key vendors in this space continue to restrict UWB to their flagship devices. Furthermore, the majority of the market has been driven by Apple and Samsung, with other large-scale smartphone vendors yet to adopt UWB technology in their latest models. This has meant that for the last couple of years, adoption of UWB has remained relatively steady, and there has not been the sharp ramp up in device availability, which will be necessary for accelerating the wider UWB market. This has been further exacerbated by a weakening smartphone market overall. While UWB penetration in the smartphone market between 2022 and 2023 grew from 21% to 25% of all smartphones from a volume perspective, the total UWB market grew by around 18% in 2023 compared to 2022, from 352 million devices to nearly 417 million. The question then remains, is the UWB market floundering, or is this just growing pains?
Momentum Is Growing for the Broader Ecosystem, but Challenges Remain |
IMPACT |
On a positive note, there is clearly a growing ecosystem of UWB solution providers that all see the potential in the technology across a variety of applications. In addition to Apple and Samsung, which have developed their own chipsets, other UWB solution providers include Qorvo, Qualcomm, NXP, STMicroelectronics, Infineon, Imec, SPARK Microsystems, NOVELDA, Mauna Kea Semiconductors, GiantSemi, Ultraception, Changsha Chixin, and Chipsbank. The ecosystem also contains several Internet Protocol (IP) providers, including CEVA and Packetcraft. Some of these vendors, such as Qualcomm, have only just released their first UWB chipsets into the market, whereas others are still developing their product portfolios, with solutions set to arrive in the next 12 to 24 months. There are also vendors optimizing for specific applications or focusing on domestic markets. These new entrants will lead to the development of a hugely competitive UWB landscape, drive improvements in technology, reduce costs, and provide product designers with a wide availability of chipsets to choose from depending on their target application. All of these will be vital in building a successful ecosystem at the mobile device, automotive, and peripheral and accessory segments.
Meanwhile, performance continues to improve. Chipset innovation will be vital in ensuring the long-term success of the technology across a variety of metrics, including performance, size, power consumption, positioning accuracy, robustness, range, cost, multi-function capabilities, and integration with other technologies. For example, Apple’s U2 chip is a 7 Nanometer (nm) solution, compared to the 16 nm U1 chip. GiantSemi’s latest generation GT1500 UWB System-on-Chip (SoC) is claimed to be the world's smallest UWB single-chip SoC with a footprint of just 9 Square Millimeters (mm2). Imec’s latest UWB solution provides 10X more resilience against interference from Wi-Fi and 5G signals than existing UWB solutions and can operate up to 10X longer on the same battery compared to existing solutions. Qualcomm’s FastConnect™ 7900 Mobile Connectivity System combines Wi-Fi 7, Bluetooth® 5.4, and UWB into a single 6 nm chip that also integrates Artificial Intelligence (AI) features. Increasingly, UWB solution providers are offering multi-functional solutions that can support secure ranging, sensing and radar, and low-latency networking/data capabilities. For example, NXP’s Trimension NCJ29D6A is the first monolithic UWB chip for automotive markets that combines secure localization and short-range radar with an integrated Microcontroller Unit (MCU). This enables Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) to leverage the in-vehicle UWB solution for several use cases, including child presence detection and secure car access control.
At this point, it is worth remembering that the UWB market is still very much in its infancy and there have already been huge leaps across many of these different metrics. This will only accelerate as competition increases, vendors continue to specialize and differentiate, and the technology matures at both the standards level and within industry consortia such as the FiRa Consortium. Based on its current trajectory and the rollout of UWB technology across different applications, ABI Research expects annual UWB-enabled device shipments to grow from the 416.6 million witnessed in 2023 to just under 1.1 billion in 2028. However, there is potential for certain applications to grow more rapidly if the ecosystem accelerates in these key areas.
What Is Required to Build a Successful UWB Ecosystem? |
RECOMMENDATIONS |
Given the relative immaturity of UWB technology, many things need to be developed in order to ensure the long-term success of the technology, including the following: